Social Scientist. v 14, no. 156 (May 1986) p. 34.


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34 SOCIAL SCIENTIST

don of sectoral demand generated directly and indirectly by an increase in government expenditure, and the structure of the excess capacity obtaining in the economy. We have attempted here, to indicate empirically the level to which deficit spending can be pushed up without causing inflation and also to identify the sectors through which inflation gains its momentum. For our exposition we have divided the paper into three sections. In the immediately following section we briefly discuss the data and the methodology used for the exercise. In section 2, we discuss the results of the study. In the final section we highlight the major conclusions and attempt to relate them, to the extent possible, to more recent time situation .

To carry out this exercise we require to know the structure of sectoral direct demand generated by the Union Government expenditure. Given the direct demand, we have to estimate the induced demand generated in the

TAE Direct Commodity Require \LE I ment of Union Governmc •nt

Expenditure of Rs. 10< 0 (At producers' prices)

Sector Name Commodity Salary Combined

No. Purchases Disbursals Expenditure

1. Agriculture 2.512 38.784 16.836

2. Mining 4.608 0.419 2.953

3. Food Products 1.356 12.9^2 5.947

4. Textile Products 3.629 4.971 4.160

5. Wood Products 0.076 0.342 0.180

6. Paper & Printing 0.995 0.644 0.856

Leather Products 0.075 0.319 0.172

7.

8. Rubber & Petro. Products 2.758 • 0.807 1.988

9. Chemicals 1.456 1.391 1.430

10. Non-metalic Minerals 0.173 0.^84 0.217

11: Metals & Metal Products 3.366 0.419 2.202

12. Non Electrical Machinery 4.410 0.137 2.723

13. Electrical Machinery 6.833 1.027 4.541

14. Transport Equipment 18.261 L246 11.541

15. Other Industries 4.831 1.568 3.543

16. Electricity 2.366 1.694 2.096

17. Construction 27.135 6.665 19.051

18. Riy. Transport 9.067 3.373 ^ 6.819

19. Other Transport 1.701 2.J555 2.078

20. Other Services 4.390 20.281 10.66fr

100.0 100.0 100.0



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